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RESEARCH PROGRAMMES » DEVELOPING DISPUTED MARITIME ENERGY RESOURCES IN ASIA

NBR Project on Developing Disputed Maritime Energy Resources in Asia

The Need Outstanding maritime sovereignty disputes are among the greatest potential threats to security in Asia. Given the complexity of the political, historic, legal, economic, and strategic factors at play, resolution of these boundary disputes has eluded claimant states. These complexities are compounded by mounting pressure to develop additional energy resources as global demand soars. It is thus essential to provide stakeholders with the analysis and policy tools to diffuse the prospect of conflict.

Approach Led by Dr. Clive Schofield, Australian National Centre for Ocean Resources & Security, three research teams will investigate case studies of maritime sovereignty disputes in the South China Sea, East China Sea and Gulf of Thailand. These rising experts will be primarily drawn from Asian institutions and will employ a multidisciplinary approach incorporating the fields of law, energy and natural resources, economics, regional politics and security, and negotiation and conflict resolution. Dr. Schofield will direct the teams’ efforts and integrate their results to produce project outcomes over the four year duration of the project, from 2009–2012. Additionally, three longstanding experts on maritime disputes in Asia will serve as advisors to the project. Through this collaborative effort, the project aims to strengthen regional networks and develop capacity building mechanisms.

Impact The research teams will work with key stakeholders to analyze the contours of the disputes, propose models for resolution and joint development, and disseminate research findings and recommendations. This will include convening public and private regional workshops and conferences and publishing white papers and a final report, NBR will engage in ongoing consultations with key stakeholders throughout the project. Experts will present the final report, including analysis of the disputes and recommendations, to key stakeholders inside and outside the region.

Scope and Organization

NBR will work with a principal investigator and in-region contacts to assemble three research teams to investigate three case studies of sovereignty disputes in Asia. These teams will be composed of four experts each and will be primarily drawn from institutions in Asia. Each team will be multidisciplinary, representing the fields of law, energy and natural resources, economics, regional politics and security, and negotiation and conflict resolution. The principal investigator will direct the teams’ efforts and integrate their results to produce project outcomes.

NBR’s selection of a principal investigator and project teams is moving ahead on schedule. Per the project proposal, NBR will finalize the composition of the three research teams in collaboration with the principal investigator. NBR has engaged over 20 U.S.-based and regional scholars including those from Australia, Singapore, China, and Vietnam. Many of these experts will work on the project in some capacity.

Over the project life cycle, the research teams will work with key stakeholders to analyze the contours of the maritime disputes, propose new development models, and disseminate research findings and recommendations. This will include convening regional workshops and conferences, publishing a series of white papers and a final report, and holding ongoing consultations with regional partner organizations, representatives of concerned governments, civil society, and the private sector, as well as other academics. At the conclusion of the project the final report including analysis of the disputes and recommendations for policymakers will be presented to
key stakeholders in the region and relevant international organizations.


Research Framework

The methodology will by necessity be cross-sectoral. Though the final research agenda will be set by NBR and the principal investigator in consultation with regional partner institutions, the project will address the following questions:

  • Law: What legal principles underlie the competing claims? Are there unexplored opportunities or challenges to the use of international agreements, such as the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), to resolve disputed claims? What legal models have been applied to similar maritime disputes? Are any international institutions such as the World Court well-placed to provide neutral, credible rulings on the merits of relative claims? How can any eventual agreements be best monitored?
  • Energy and Natural Resources: What are the nature and significance of the resource deposits in question? What technical and financial capabilities are needed to extract the resources, and which countries and companies lay claims to them? What downstream infrastructure (pipelines, refineries, and ports, for example) is needed to take advantage of any resource development? What environmental factors must be considered? How will exploiting these disputed resources affect regional states’ broader energy security policies?
  • Economics: What are the economic costs and benefits of different models of developing the disputed resource deposits? Are joint-financing arrangements an effective way to organize resource development? How much up-front investment would be necessary to begin development? Can political risk be sufficiently reduced to enable large-scale private sector investments? Which countries, companies, and interest groups stand to gain (or lose) most from developing the disputed resources?
  • Politics and Security: What relationship do these maritime energy disputes have to broader political relations between countries? What are the political and security implications of various resource development options? Are there ongoing bilateral or regional developments that could provide new opportunities for progress in reducing tensions or resolving these disputes? Alternatively, are there trends or developments that could increase the risks of conflict and impede efforts at cooperation?

Project Management

The National Bureau of Asian Research’s Economics and Trade Affairs (ETA) group manages this project. The ETA group leads NBR‘s efforts to conduct ground-breaking policy research on the rising economic importance of Asia to the United States. The group focuses on issues related to energy, the environment, and natural resources; innovation; and developments in trade and investment relations. Ms. Meredith Miller, Vice President of Economics and Trade Affairs & Outreach, oversees the project, and Ms. Stephanie Renzi, Project Director, manages the project. In this capacity, Ms. Renzi works closely with the principal investigator, research teams, regional partners, stakeholders, and the MacArthur Foundation to ensure effective collaboration and long-term capacity building.


List of Experts

Name Affiliation Project Role
Clive Schofield Australian National Centre for Ocean Resources and Security Principal Investigator
Yingchun Gong China Foreign Affairs University Research Team Member – East China Sea Dispute
Seokwoo Lee Inha University Law School Research Team Member – East China Sea Dispute
Ian Storey Institute of Southeast Asian Studies Research Team Member – South China Sea Dispute
Kuan-Hsiung Wang National Taiwan Normal University Research Team Member – East China Sea Dispute
May Tan-Mullins Durham University Research Team Member – Gulf of Thailand Dispute
Tran Truong Thuy Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam Research Team Member – South China Sea Dispute

For more information on this project, please contact Ms. Lisa Weiss (lweiss@nbr.org)

 
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